![]() ![]() Some political scientists think voters in the rich economies are dividing between the globalists and the nationalists. But maybe it’s more about the better-educated concentrating in the big cities – where the best-paying jobs are – leaving the less well-educated in outer suburbs or back in country towns, feeling the world has changed in ways they don’t like and thinking of voting One Nation. Many people think they’ve detected in recent election results a growing divide between city and country in Australia, but also in Britain and America. But Metcalfe says it’s education, not income, that’s doing the driving. Unsurprisingly, income and education are highly correlated. The teal seats’ most dominant characteristic was their high levels of “educational attainment”. How the parties’ share of the national vote changed, then looking by state and even at the 151 electorates.īut Luke Metcalfe, founder of the property and data analytics consultancy, Microburbs, (and, as it happens, a nephew of mine), has done a bottom-up, more “granular” analysis.Īs we know, much of this shift away from the Liberals came via the teal independents in Liberal heartland seats in Melbourne, Sydney and Perth. As usual, we’ve tried to understand these from the top down. “Rich, educated professionals swung 11 to 12 per cent against the Coalition, while the country’s working poor - the fifth of polling booths paying the lowest rent, earning the lowest incomes and with the least skills - swung only 3 to 4 per cent against it.”īut what if this conventional setup was changing - being undermined – before our eyes? We all know that strange things happened in last month’s federal election. This is the basis for the standard perception of politics as a conflict between the privileged Right and the discontented Left. The Liberals defend the status quo, while Labor is the party of “reform”. ![]() The owners and managers tend to be pretty happy with the world as it is, whereas those further down the pecking order, with less wealth and less income, can always think of things they’d like to see changed. ![]()
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